A recent study commissioned by the Council on Affordable Housing found that:
- Of New Jersey’s 4.98 million acres, 1.24 million (25 percent) are vacant and unconstrained.
- These vacant acres have the capacity for 1,169,697 residential housing units and 1.63 billion square feet of non-residential space.
- Redevelopment of older housing and former commercial and industrial sites will produce an average of 8,251 additional residential units annually.
There is sufficient development capacity in the state to support projected growth well beyond 2018.
The Story Behind the Numbers
While the conclusions of the study show the state has sufficient capacity to meet its mid-term housing needs, those numbers don’t tell the whole story.
Only 39 percent of the vacant and unconstrained land identified in the study is located in the state’s “growth areas,” but this land is expected to account for 79.3 percent of the state’s residential growth. Nearly half (47 percent) of new residential units are projected to be built in Planning Area 2 (Suburban), designated centers and sewer service areas.
This is good news; it means growth will be occurring in areas the State Development and Redevelopment Plan deems suitable. What the study does not address however, is how that growth will occur. To accommodate the future growth the study projects, major changes will need to occur in the state’s urban and suburban areas.
The problem is this: The study calculated capacity using existing densities, not actual zoning. While the authors assume that a national trend toward more dense development will extend to New Jersey, the opposite may, in fact, be true. Between 1986 and 2002, while the state’s population increased by 12 percent, the amount of developed land increased by 21 percent. This suggests that new development in New Jersey is occurring at densities significantly lower than previously existing development in the state.
Today, zoning in many of these locations allows only for single-use, low-density development—in other words, sprawl. Many municipalities resist higher densities, fearful of increased congestion and school costs they could bring. Two programs have been launched recently in Massachusetts and Connecticut to address these concerns. These programs provide financial incentives to municipalities for zoning for higher-density, smart-growth housing. In Massachusetts, the program will also reimburse towns for additional school costs incurred from these units. If New Jersey municipalities are going to be expected to absorb so much future growth, the state will need to find a way to address their fears of higher-density zoning.
Redevelopment: Have Your Cake and Eat It Too
Redevelopment is also an important component of the state’s future growth potential. The study, based on historical trends, estimates that 8,251 residential units will be produced annually through redevelopment. But this doesn’t begin to get at the state’s redevelopment potential. Vacant homes and apartments, abandoned commercial strips, underutilized parking lots and empty factories, which can be found in abundance across the state, provide great opportunities for redevelopment—if the state were to make a concerted effort to promote it.
This type of growth makes sense for New Jersey. It allows the state to grow without losing open space—a win-win situation. Rather than building on farmland far away from employment centers, redevelopment would place housing where it makes the most sense: near jobs, transit and infrastructure. But for more redevelopment to occur, changes are needed. Targeted infrastructure investments by the state in urban areas would help cities prepare for new growth, as well as show the state’s commitment to redevelopment. More money and a streamlined process for brownfields cleanups would also help, as many vacant sites in urban areas are contaminated and require remediation.
Overall, the outlook for the state’s growth capacity is positive. We must be careful, however, not to let these vacant lands “burn a whole in our pocket.” Smart-growth planning and targeted redevelopment are essential if we are to avoid the mistakes of the past and develop in a way that preserves open space while creating vibrant communities.
If you have any questions about this issue of Future Facts, please contact Jay Corbalis, Policy Analyst.
Related Blog
11/26/2025
08/12/2025
07/16/2025
07/15/2025
07/15/2025
07/01/2025
07/01/2025
07/01/2025
06/30/2025
06/30/2025
06/30/2025
06/26/2025
06/19/2025
06/19/2025
06/16/2025
05/21/2025
05/15/2025
04/22/2025
04/01/2025
03/14/2025
03/13/2025
02/18/2025
02/18/2025
12/02/2024
09/19/2024
08/30/2024
07/30/2024
07/30/2024
07/30/2024
07/30/2024
07/30/2024
07/30/2024
06/24/2024
06/24/2024
03/29/2024
03/29/2024
03/19/2024
03/19/2024
03/15/2024
01/29/2024
01/12/2024
12/18/2023
12/05/2023
12/05/2023
11/30/2023
10/12/2023
09/20/2023
09/18/2023
08/08/2023
07/20/2023
07/20/2023
07/20/2023
07/20/2023
07/20/2023
07/18/2023
07/18/2023
07/18/2023
07/18/2023
07/18/2023
07/17/2023
07/17/2023
07/17/2023
06/06/2023
05/17/2023
05/17/2023
05/11/2023
03/17/2023
03/16/2023
02/06/2023
01/31/2023
01/30/2023
01/20/2023
01/17/2023
01/04/2023
05/01/2023
04/19/2023
04/17/2023
11/29/2022
11/11/2022
10/25/2022
10/21/2022
10/18/2022
09/22/2022
09/21/2022
08/16/2022
08/09/2022
07/19/2022
07/19/2022
07/11/2022
07/11/2022
07/11/2022
07/11/2022
07/11/2022
07/08/2022
07/08/2022
07/08/2022
07/08/2022
07/08/2022
07/08/2022
07/08/2022
07/07/2022
07/07/2022
06/30/2022
06/29/2022
06/27/2022
06/24/2022
06/22/2022
06/10/2022
05/23/2022
05/23/2022
05/20/2022
04/25/2022
03/24/2022
02/22/2022
02/18/2022
01/19/2022
12/07/2021
12/02/2021
11/01/2021
10/13/2021
10/13/2021
10/13/2021
09/13/2021
09/13/2021
09/13/2021
09/13/2021
07/19/2021
07/19/2021
07/19/2021
07/19/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/25/2021
06/24/2021
06/24/2021
06/24/2021
06/15/2021
06/15/2021
06/15/2021
05/06/2021
05/04/2021
04/30/2021
04/12/2021
04/12/2021
04/12/2021
03/15/2021
03/15/2021
03/15/2021
03/05/2021
02/15/2021
02/15/2021
02/11/2021
02/11/2021
02/10/2021
02/09/2021
01/15/2021
12/21/2020
08/06/2020
08/06/2020
07/14/2020
07/14/2020
07/14/2020
06/12/2020
05/26/2020
04/19/2020
03/11/2020
03/11/2020
03/02/2020
03/02/2020
02/17/2020
11/10/2020
11/10/2020
11/09/2020
11/09/2020
11/09/2020
10/14/2020
10/14/2020
10/14/2020
10/14/2020
09/16/2020
09/16/2020
09/15/2020
09/15/2020
09/04/2020
08/11/2020
08/06/2020
07/14/2020
07/14/2020
06/12/2020
06/12/2020
06/10/2020
06/05/2020
06/03/2020
05/26/2020
05/06/2020
05/05/2020
05/05/2020
04/15/2020
04/15/2020
04/09/2020
03/13/2020
03/11/2020
03/09/2020
02/20/2020
02/17/2020
01/16/2020
01/14/2020
01/13/2020
01/07/2020
09/04/2019
08/13/2019
05/06/2019
04/24/2019
03/22/2019
03/18/2019
03/13/2019
03/01/2019
03/01/2019
03/01/2019
02/26/2019
01/14/2019
01/02/2019
01/02/2019
12/17/2019
12/12/2019
12/11/2019
12/09/2019
11/11/2019
11/11/2019
11/06/2019
11/06/2019
10/25/2019
10/18/2019
10/17/2019
10/15/2019
10/14/2019
10/14/2019
10/11/2019
10/03/2019
09/25/2019
09/23/2019
09/09/2019
09/06/2019
09/06/2019
09/06/2019
09/05/2019
09/04/2019
09/04/2019
09/04/2019
09/03/2019
08/28/2019
08/28/2019
08/26/2019
08/19/2019
08/13/2019
08/13/2019
08/12/2019
08/12/2019
08/09/2019
08/09/2019
07/29/2019
07/19/2019
07/19/2019
07/19/2019
07/17/2019
07/17/2019
07/16/2019
07/16/2019
07/16/2019
07/10/2019
07/03/2019
06/24/2019
06/21/2019
06/21/2019
06/10/2019
06/10/2019
06/07/2019
06/07/2019
06/07/2019
06/03/2019
06/03/2019
06/03/2019
06/03/2019
05/23/2019
05/22/2019
05/21/2019
05/20/2019
05/20/2019
05/20/2019
05/17/2019
05/17/2019
05/13/2019
05/13/2019
05/10/2019
05/08/2019
05/08/2019
05/08/2019
05/08/2019
05/03/2019
05/03/2019
04/29/2019
04/29/2019
04/22/2019
04/22/2019
04/19/2019
04/17/2019
04/17/2019
04/10/2019
04/10/2019
04/10/2019
04/03/2019
04/03/2019
04/03/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/29/2019
03/22/2019
03/22/2019
03/18/2019
03/15/2019
03/15/2019
03/04/2019
03/01/2019
03/01/2019
03/01/2019
03/01/2019
02/27/2019
02/27/2019
02/25/2019
02/25/2019
02/25/2019
02/25/2019
02/25/2019
02/25/2019
02/18/2019
02/18/2019
02/18/2019
02/18/2019
02/06/2019
02/04/2019
02/04/2019
02/01/2019
02/01/2019
01/31/2019
01/30/2019
01/29/2019
01/28/2019
01/28/2019
01/28/2019
01/25/2019
01/25/2019
01/25/2019
01/23/2019
01/18/2019
01/18/2019
01/18/2019
01/18/2019
01/16/2019
01/10/2019
01/10/2019
01/10/2019
01/09/2019
01/07/2019
01/04/2019
01/04/2019
01/04/2019
01/04/2019
01/04/2019
12/06/2018
12/03/2018
11/07/2018
11/05/2018
11/02/2018
10/25/2018
10/23/2018
10/23/2018
10/12/2018
10/08/2018
10/02/2018
09/25/2018
09/04/2018
08/17/2018
08/17/2018
08/13/2018
07/25/2018
07/24/2018
05/31/2018
05/25/2018
05/16/2018
05/03/2018
05/01/2018
05/01/2018
04/26/2018
04/18/2018
04/10/2018
04/04/2018
04/02/2018
03/30/2018
03/29/2018
03/27/2018
03/26/2018
03/20/2018
03/16/2018
02/06/2018
01/05/2018
01/04/2018
01/04/2018
12/18/2018
09/12/2018
07/19/2018
03/28/2018
12/20/2017
12/12/2017
12/06/2017
11/30/2017
11/27/2017
11/22/2017
11/17/2017
11/03/2017
10/25/2017
10/18/2017
09/28/2017
09/27/2017
09/19/2017
09/18/2017
08/31/2017
08/31/2017
08/14/2017
08/02/2017
07/24/2017
07/20/2017
07/14/2017
06/29/2017
06/28/2017
06/12/2017
05/26/2017
05/23/2017
05/05/2017
04/12/2017
04/11/2017
04/10/2017
04/05/2017
03/27/2017
03/23/2017
03/20/2017
03/20/2017
03/20/2017
03/17/2017
03/10/2017
02/21/2017
02/17/2017
02/16/2017
02/08/2017
02/08/2017
01/26/2017
01/24/2017
01/19/2017
01/19/2017
01/10/2017
01/10/2017
12/13/2017
12/06/2016
11/18/2016
11/16/2016
11/14/2016
11/08/2016
11/01/2016
10/20/2016
10/17/2016
10/12/2016
10/05/2016
09/28/2016
09/14/2016
08/22/2016
08/10/2016
07/28/2016
07/27/2016
07/13/2016
06/24/2016
06/23/2016
06/02/2016
06/02/2016
05/26/2016
05/25/2016
05/23/2016
05/20/2016
05/20/2016
05/18/2016
05/17/2016
05/16/2016
05/13/2016
05/04/2016
04/27/2016
04/19/2016
04/18/2016
04/11/2016
04/06/2016
04/04/2016
04/04/2016
03/28/2016
03/24/2016
03/23/2016
03/22/2016
03/17/2016
03/17/2016
03/15/2016
03/07/2016
02/23/2016
02/18/2016
02/18/2016
02/09/2016
02/05/2016
01/27/2016
01/26/2016
01/22/2016
01/19/2016
01/13/2016
01/07/2016
12/15/2015
12/15/2015
12/15/2015
12/08/2015
11/19/2015
11/10/2015
11/03/2015
10/28/2015
10/27/2015
10/26/2015
10/19/2015
10/06/2015
10/05/2015
09/24/2015
09/10/2015
09/01/2015
08/19/2015
08/14/2015
08/12/2015
08/04/2015
07/30/2015
07/27/2015
07/10/2015
07/10/2015
07/08/2015
07/01/2015
06/29/2015
06/22/2015
06/18/2015
06/15/2015
05/15/2015
05/13/2015
05/13/2015
05/05/2015
05/04/2015
04/28/2015
04/28/2015
04/22/2015
04/21/2015
04/13/2015
04/10/2015
04/10/2015
03/30/2015
03/26/2015
03/18/2015
03/18/2015
03/17/2015
03/12/2015
03/10/2015
02/27/2015
02/19/2015
02/18/2015
02/17/2015
02/06/2015
02/04/2015
02/02/2015
01/27/2015
01/23/2015
01/21/2015
01/20/2015
01/15/2015
01/15/2015
01/15/2015
01/06/2015
12/19/2014
12/12/2014
12/10/2014
12/05/2014
12/02/2014
11/19/2014
11/17/2014
11/10/2014
11/06/2014
11/06/2014
11/01/2014
10/22/2014
10/21/2014
10/16/2014
10/09/2014
10/06/2014
10/06/2014
10/03/2014
10/02/2014
09/30/2014
09/23/2014
09/23/2014
09/18/2014
09/17/2014
09/16/2014
09/15/2014
09/11/2014
09/11/2014
09/09/2014
09/04/2014
08/27/2014
08/26/2014
08/25/2014
08/04/2014
08/01/2014
07/29/2014
07/25/2014
07/24/2014
07/02/2014
06/26/2014
06/26/2014
06/25/2014
06/23/2014
06/18/2014
06/18/2014
06/05/2014
06/03/2014
05/20/2014
05/16/2014
05/14/2014
05/06/2014
04/24/2014
04/17/2014
04/11/2014
04/10/2014
04/04/2014
04/04/2014
04/03/2014
04/03/2014
04/01/2014
04/01/2014
03/21/2014
03/20/2014
03/20/2014
03/20/2014
03/20/2014
03/11/2014
03/07/2014
03/05/2014
02/25/2014
02/20/2014
02/18/2014
02/18/2014
02/14/2014
02/10/2014
02/10/2014
02/07/2014
02/06/2014
02/04/2014
01/29/2014
01/28/2014
01/28/2014
01/16/2014
02/12/2014
11/19/2013
11/14/2013
11/13/2013
11/05/2013
11/04/2013
11/01/2013
10/30/2013
10/25/2013
10/22/2013
10/21/2013
10/20/2013
10/20/2013
10/16/2013
10/16/2013
10/10/2013
10/02/2013
09/26/2013
09/25/2013
09/18/2013
09/10/2013
08/19/2013
08/08/2013
08/05/2013
08/02/2013
07/24/2013
07/24/2013
07/23/2013
07/22/2013
07/22/2013
07/22/2013
07/19/2013
07/18/2013
07/18/2013
07/09/2013
07/02/2013
06/25/2013
06/18/2013
06/17/2013
06/13/2013
06/12/2013
06/12/2013
06/12/2013
06/03/2013
05/21/2013
05/16/2013
05/16/2013
05/07/2013
04/30/2013
04/29/2013
04/29/2013
04/11/2013
04/04/2013
04/04/2013
04/01/2013
03/26/2013
03/25/2013
03/25/2013
03/22/2013
03/20/2013
03/19/2013
03/13/2013
03/13/2013
03/11/2013
03/07/2013
03/04/2013
03/04/2013
03/04/2013
02/27/2013
02/21/2013
02/20/2013
02/05/2013
01/31/2013
01/30/2013
01/24/2013
01/16/2013
01/03/2013
01/02/2013
12/10/2012
11/30/2012
11/21/2012
11/20/2012
11/20/2012
11/19/2012
11/19/2012
11/15/2012
11/15/2012
11/14/2012
11/13/2012
11/12/2012
11/12/2012
11/08/2012
11/02/2012
11/01/2012
10/17/2012
10/11/2012
09/24/2012
09/19/2012
09/12/2012
08/29/2012
08/03/2012
07/18/2012
07/17/2012
06/28/2012
06/19/2012
06/12/2012
06/01/2012
05/31/2012
05/31/2012
05/24/2012
05/21/2012
05/18/2012
05/14/2012
05/01/2012
04/30/2012
04/20/2012
04/18/2012
04/18/2012
04/13/2012
04/03/2012
04/02/2012
03/30/2012
03/28/2012
03/22/2012
03/22/2012
03/21/2012
03/21/2012
03/05/2012
02/13/2012
02/13/2012
02/09/2012
02/09/2012
01/27/2012
01/26/2012
01/19/2012
01/17/2012
01/11/2012
01/09/2012
01/04/2012
12/13/2012
09/12/2012
12/14/2011
12/09/2011
12/09/2011
12/08/2011
12/01/2011
12/01/2011
11/21/2011
11/17/2011
11/17/2011
11/16/2011
11/14/2011
11/14/2011
11/03/2011
11/02/2011
11/01/2011
10/27/2011
10/23/2011
10/19/2011
10/14/2011
10/12/2011
10/11/2011
10/05/2011
10/04/2011
09/29/2011
09/28/2011
09/22/2011
09/22/2011
09/13/2011
09/07/2011
09/01/2011
08/25/2011
08/24/2011
08/24/2011
08/19/2011
08/12/2011
08/11/2011
08/11/2011
08/05/2011
08/01/2011
08/01/2011
07/28/2011
07/21/2011
07/21/2011
07/19/2011
07/07/2011
07/06/2011
07/05/2011
06/29/2011
06/27/2011
06/26/2011
06/23/2011
06/20/2011
06/17/2011
06/15/2011
06/13/2011
06/11/2011
06/07/2011
06/03/2011
06/01/2011
05/26/2011
05/24/2011
05/23/2011
05/17/2011
05/17/2011
05/13/2011
05/12/2011
05/04/2011
04/26/2011
04/25/2011
04/21/2011
04/08/2011
04/01/2011
03/31/2011
03/31/2011
03/28/2011
03/21/2011
03/16/2011
03/16/2011
03/10/2011
03/08/2011
03/03/2011
02/28/2011
02/25/2011
02/24/2011
02/24/2011
02/22/2011
02/21/2011
02/18/2011
02/17/2011
02/16/2011
02/16/2011
02/15/2011
02/15/2011
02/14/2011
02/10/2011
02/08/2011
02/07/2011
01/31/2011
01/31/2011
01/31/2011
01/20/2011
01/19/2011
01/18/2011
01/14/2011
01/13/2011
01/11/2011
01/07/2011
01/06/2011
01/05/2011
01/05/2011
03/02/2011
12/28/2010
12/21/2010
12/21/2010
12/21/2010
12/17/2010
12/17/2010
12/15/2010
12/14/2010
12/14/2010
12/09/2010
12/09/2010
12/02/2010
11/19/2010
11/16/2010
11/15/2010
11/10/2010
10/27/2010
10/26/2010
10/15/2010
10/14/2010
10/12/2010
10/08/2010
10/07/2010
10/05/2010
10/01/2010
09/30/2010
09/24/2010
09/20/2010
09/18/2010
09/15/2010
09/01/2010
08/25/2010
08/24/2010
08/04/2010
08/03/2010
07/30/2010
07/29/2010
07/28/2010
07/26/2010
07/23/2010
07/23/2010
07/08/2010
07/06/2010
06/18/2010
06/17/2010
06/17/2010
06/10/2010
06/09/2010
06/02/2010
05/26/2010
05/25/2010
05/24/2010
05/14/2010
05/13/2010
05/12/2010
05/11/2010
05/06/2010
05/03/2010
04/28/2010
04/27/2010
04/26/2010
04/22/2010
04/22/2010
04/22/2010
04/20/2010
04/19/2010
04/16/2010
04/09/2010
04/05/2010
04/01/2010
03/31/2010
03/30/2010
03/25/2010
03/11/2010
03/10/2010
03/05/2010
03/01/2010
02/18/2010
02/17/2010
02/16/2010
02/11/2010
02/11/2010
02/05/2010
01/29/2010
01/28/2010
01/21/2010
01/14/2010
01/11/2010
02/10/2010
12/23/2009
12/22/2009
12/17/2009
12/04/2009
11/25/2009
11/17/2009
11/04/2009
11/03/2009
10/29/2009
10/27/2009
10/26/2009
10/19/2009
10/15/2009
10/15/2009
10/13/2009
10/09/2009
10/08/2009
10/05/2009
10/01/2009
09/30/2009
09/28/2009
09/27/2009
09/27/2009
09/27/2009
09/27/2009
08/19/2009
07/15/2009
07/01/2009
06/24/2009
06/18/2009
06/01/2009
05/20/2009
05/04/2009
04/20/2009
04/03/2009
03/18/2009
03/04/2009
02/18/2009
02/04/2009
01/15/2009
12/31/2008
12/17/2008
12/05/2008
11/24/2008
11/03/2008
10/21/2008
10/06/2008
09/22/2008
09/05/2008
08/06/2008
07/17/2008
07/02/2008
06/13/2008
06/02/2008
05/15/2008
05/07/2008
04/14/2008
04/04/2008
03/19/2008
03/06/2008
02/26/2008
02/20/2008
01/17/2008
12/28/2007
12/19/2007
12/07/2007
10/31/2007
10/16/2007
10/03/2007
09/18/2007
08/24/2007
07/27/2007
06/19/2007
06/01/2007
05/16/2007
05/02/2007
04/17/2007
04/07/2007
03/15/2007
02/20/2007
01/31/2007
01/12/2007
12/28/2006
12/18/2006
11/28/2006
11/26/2006
11/03/2006
10/20/2006
09/29/2006
09/14/2006
08/31/2006
06/21/2006
05/31/2006
05/16/2006
04/21/2006
03/31/2006
03/17/2006
03/06/2006
02/16/2006
01/31/2006
07/28/2006
12/29/2005
12/19/2005
11/30/2005
11/18/2005
10/31/2005
10/21/2005
09/30/2005
09/19/2005
08/31/2005
06/30/2005
05/31/2005
05/13/2005
04/29/2005
04/15/2005
03/04/2005
02/18/2005
01/28/2005
01/07/2005
07/29/2005
12/20/2004
12/12/2004
12/03/2004
11/19/2004
11/05/2004
10/22/2004
10/08/2004
09/20/2004
08/10/2004
07/20/2004
06/30/2004
06/11/2004
06/01/2004
05/21/2004
04/30/2004
04/20/2004
03/18/2004
03/02/2004
02/13/2004
01/30/2004
01/19/2004
12/31/2003
11/26/2003
11/14/2003
10/24/2003
10/11/2003
09/23/2003
07/31/2003
07/20/2003
06/20/2003
06/05/2003
05/16/2003
04/18/2003
03/31/2003
03/21/2003
02/28/2003
02/13/2003
01/31/2003
12/13/2002
11/14/2002
11/14/2002
10/31/2002
10/11/2002
09/25/2002
08/30/2002
08/16/2002
08/02/2002
07/12/2002
06/22/2002
05/17/2002
04/30/2002
04/19/2002
03/26/2002
03/08/2002
02/18/2002
01/23/2002
01/10/2002
12/11/2001
11/30/2001
10/31/2001
10/10/2001
09/20/2001
08/31/2001
08/17/2001
08/01/2001
07/12/2001
06/28/2001
05/31/2001
05/11/2001
04/30/2001
03/30/2001
03/14/2001
02/13/2001
01/25/2001
01/10/2001
06/19/2001
12/22/2000
12/08/2000
11/27/2000
11/08/2000
10/23/2000
10/05/2000
09/22/2000
09/01/2000
08/18/2000
07/10/2000
06/19/2000
06/02/2000
05/15/2000
05/03/2000